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Where Will Bitcoin Bottom Next? Analysis Warns Over $114,000 Dip


Key points:

  • Bitcoin price action stays lower after falling over 4% in hours.

  • Liquidity is already recovering, with short-term volatility increasingly likely as a result.

  • BTC price predictions see a local bottom forming at as low as $114,000.

Bitcoin (BTC) struggled to reclaim $122,000 Wednesday as exchange users bet on fresh BTC price volatility.

BTC/USD one-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

Bitcoin tracks sideways after all-time high tumble

Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView showed BTC/USD consolidating after a snap 4.2% correction the day prior.

This had been broadly expected given successive all-time highs but an absence of serious upward momentum.

As Cointelegraph reported, rapidly increasing open interest (OI) on derivatives markets had added to suspicions that Bitcoin could retrace a chunk of its recent upside.

Exchange Bitcoin futures OI (screenshot). Source: CoinGlass

“Very efficient price action tbh hence the low volatility thus far,” popular trader Skew commented in part of an X post Tuesday as the correction took shape.

Skew subsequently noted “predatory” behavior by large-volume traders on exchange order books.

Overnight, however, liquidity began to flow back into the market, with data from CoinGlass showing thickening bid-side and ask-side liquidity at the time of writing.

BTC liquidation heatmap. Source: CoinGlass

Skew suggested that a “consolidation range” may result.

BTC price support puts $114,000 back in focus

Others considered where BTC/USD could put in a reliable local floor, warning that this may be significantly below current spot price.

Related: BTC October price breakout odds low: 5 things to know in Bitcoin this week

“Between $121K–$120K there isn’t much support, which means price can cut through quickly if selling picks up,” popular trader ZYN reported on X

“But just below, around $117K, nearly 190K BTC were last bought. That’s a heavy cluster of recent buyers.”

Bitcoin cost basis distribution heatmap. Source: ZYN/X

ZYN used the cost basis of recent buyers to predict where demand should shore up price. 

“If we get a pullback into that range, it’s the kind of zone where demand usually shows up strong buyers defending their entries, new capital stepping in. In short: weak cushion at $121K, but a very real floor forming at $117K,” he concluded.

Using its proprietary trading signals, trading resource Material Indicators also flagged $120,000 support, but said that a stronger foundation for a bounce lay at $114,000 — near to Bitcoin’s 50-day simple moving average (SMA).

BTC/USD one-day chart. Source: Material Indicators/X

For crypto trader, analyst and entrepreneur Michaël van de Poppe, the next buy zone extended down to $118,000.

“Bitcoin made a new all-time high, which is often a reference for people to be taking profits,” he reasoned. 

“Slight pullback and we’re approaching my personal area of interest for potential dip buying.”

BTC/USDT one-day chart with trading volume, RSI data. Source: Michaël van de Poppe/X

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.