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Metaplanet Misses Bitcoin Buys As mNAV Dips Below 1


Metaplanet, a Japanese Bitcoin treasury company, has seen its enterprise value fall below the value of its Bitcoin holdings, entering uncharted territory as one of the world’s largest public holders of the asset.

Metaplanet’s market to Bitcoin NAV (mNAV) — a ratio between the company’s value and its Bitcoin (BTC) holdings — dropped below 1 on Tuesday, reaching 0.99 for the first time on record, according to official data.

The metric has dropped by more than seven points since mid-June, as the Metaplanet stock (3350) lost 75% of its value — falling from a peak of 1,895 Japanese yen ($13) per share to 482 yen ($3.2) on Tuesday, according to TradingView.

Metaplanet’s mNAV dropped below 1 as the company halted Bitcoin buying in the past two weeks, with its most recent BTC acquisition announced on Sept. 30.

Why is mNAV important?

Unlike traditional net asset value (NAV), mNAV is a ratio of enterprise value to Bitcoin NAV, designed to help investors gauge how the market values the company relative to its underlying BTC holdings, according to a mNAV page on BitcoinTreasuries.NET.

In mNAV, enterprise value is defined as the market capitalization of all Class A and Class B shares, total debt and the notional value of perpetual preferred shares, minus the company’s cash balance.

Market to Bitcoin NAV (mNAV) information. Source: BitcoinTreasuries.NET

When mNAV falls below 1, the company trades at a discount to the value of its Bitcoin holdings, potentially reflecting market concerns about debt, its operating model, or other risks.

Related: Saylor pauses Bitcoin buys as Strategy posts $3.9B Q3 gain

“It’s not a substitute for audited financials, but a high-level indicator of how much of the company’s valuation is driven by its BTC treasury vs. other factors,” BitcoinTreasuries.NET’s mNAV page reads.

Metaplanet holds $3.5 billion in Bitcoin

Metaplanet’s mNAV fell to 0.99 as the company holds 30,823 BTC ($3.5 billion) on its balance sheet, following its most recent acquisition of 5,268 BTC on Sept. 30.

The mNAV drop comes roughly a year after the Japanese hotel company made its first Bitcoin purchase on July 22, 2024, which triggered an immediate surge in its shares.

That initial Bitcoin acquisition pushed Metaplanet’s mNAV to an all-time high of 22.59 by July 24, a level that has not been seen since.

Metaplanet’s mNAV fell below 1 on Tuesday for the first time on record. Source: Metaplanet

The decline in Metaplanet’s mNAV highlights an ongoing cooling of the Bitcoin treasury trend, according to Smartkarma’s equity analyst Mark Chadwick.

“I still see this crypto treasury stock decline as a popping of a bubble,” Chadwick noted, adding that long-term Bitcoin bulls may still see Metaplanet’s discount as an opportunity to buy.

Related: Aurelion Treasury launches Nasdaq’s first Tether Gold-backed reserve

Cointelegraph contacted Metaplanet for comment regarding its mNAV decline and potential implications, but had not received a response by publication.

Metaplanet is not the only Bitcoin treasury company too see its stock decline recently. Michael Saylor’s Strategy, the world’s largest public Bitcoin holder with 640,250 BTC on its books, has seen the value of its Common A stock drop roughly 30% since July.